I am so glad I "managed" this hole because not too long ago I would have went for that 4 or 5 iron and more often then not ended up in the water and swamp that I had to cross over which would have left me only a few yards closer from where I was, another storke down, and still faced with basically the same shot. And then being a little bit closer (probably another club legnth) i would have probably tried it again and who knows how many strokes later it could have cost me. The small green layout and its surroundings are just not forgivable enough on this one.
I think those of us who are not routinely scoring below 85 often are delusional about the chances of our 4 or 5-iron landing on the green. Unless there's almost no trouble at all, we're probably assuring ourselves of a lower score at least 70% of the time by keeping the 5-iron in the bag and hitting that 8-iron.