- Joined
- Sep 11, 2013
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- 74,673
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- Location
- Ponte Vedra, Florida
- Handicap
- 11.9
Looks like this one’s path dropped further south.
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The sea surface temperatures in the area are warmer than normal -near 27C. This warm water, combined with a forecast environment of light- to moderate westerly shear for the next three days or so, should allow steady strengthening. The intensity forecast calls for the system to become a tropical storm later today, a hurricane in
about two days, and reach a peak intensity of 80 kt in about 4 days.
No August storms for the first time since 1997.
Right on cue, TD 5 forms on Sept 1st, and should strengthen to hurricane force soon:
Right now the center of the predicted path is headed right towards Naples where our condo is. My wife's mom also lives there and she just made plans this morning to fly out on Monday and stay with us for 6 days while the storm passes. She got caught when the eye of hurricance Irma hit Naples 5 years ago and doesn't want to repeat that experience. Hopfully this storm doesn't get as strong as Irma.
I think I got at least a little something from at least four of the storms on that list. Surprised Hugo isn't on there, it was monstrous.At initial glance, it doesn’t appear like it will be a monster storm. This was Irma
View attachment 9122636
the orange in cat 4, red is cat 5. Irma was a big cat 5 way off the cost of even Puerto Rico
I’m no meteorologist but this TD doesn’t have loads of time to become huge
I didn’t know Irma was 6th costliest of all time though
View attachment 9122635
I was on St. John 6 months after Irma and Maria hit. The damage to it was catastrophic.At initial glance, it doesn’t appear like it will be a monster storm. This was Irma
View attachment 9122636
the orange in cat 4, red is cat 5. Irma was a big cat 5 way off the cost of even Puerto Rico
I’m no meteorologist but this TD doesn’t have loads of time to become huge
I didn’t know Irma was 6th costliest of all time though
View attachment 9122635
Yay…we are in the Keys right now. Thank goodness we are leaving Monday morning.
Yeah I’m supposed to potentially be heading out of town next week. If Ian intensifies I won’t be leaving the family or potentially taking them with me.I was just told to take my laptop home this weekend to make sure I can still log in remotely in case the storm comes this way and we can't come in next week. Only two real things of any consequence on Wednesday and Thursday, so not a bad week for us.
That could be a bumper to bumper thing.Yay…we are in the Keys right now. Thank goodness we are leaving Monday morning.
It just started drying out out here. Come on whether what the hell? Here comes 9-12in of rain