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Not a theory, simple statistics. You can believe the numbers or not, your choice. It takes very little practice to learn to play shots from 60 or 70 yards and closer and have a tighter circle of dispersion than from 100 or 130. If your group is that bad, then they simply need to practice. I'm the worst practicer in the world, but I can still handle those shots.
When laying up your 2nd shot on a long par 5 for example, do you just grab 3 wood and get as close to the green as you can or is there a preferred distance you're always trying to layup to so you can hit a particular club?
I like to pull 3 wood because it's fun to see if I can hit it well, but in my quest to break 90 I know I need to manage to my strengths and weaknesses better.
I believe the numbers, but if you're trying to hit to a certain part of the green to have a realistic shot at birdie & there's $$ on the line, the human element comes into play.
In our group it seems that the single digit handicappers get rattled the most when they don't stick a dart from <70 yards.
While our green complexes are not as unforgiving as (for example) ANGC, there's definitely places you want - and don't want - to be. Tough birdie, easy par. But I appreciate your advise, I'll tell them that they need to practice these shots more.