How bad does it get? (Covid-19)

[PuffChippy]

Here's a ranking of Covid19 cases per capita. It's a damn good thing that we shut down our incoming flights from China in January. Europe didn't do that or waited another 4+ weeks and look at where they rank on the chart. It gives me hope that we can flatten the curve and keep the deaths in this country to annual flu-like fatality numbers or hopefully a lot fewer. Countries like China and Iran lie so their numbers are much worse than they show but the European numbers are accurate. The U.S. is currently at the bottom of this chart ranked 38th and hopefully we can stay out of the top 20.


View attachment 8931851

Interesting data. Looking across western Europe that puts mortality under 1% but as mentioned, you have to take all numbers as suspect. Technically that would make it more deadly than flu, although since you're not required to report flu cases and many don't even bother to get tested (because who cares about flu), the CDC themselves estimate true mortality of flu to be 10-15 times higher, making it more deadly than what these covid numbers show. Whatever the truth is, my bet is in the end the covid numbers will be greatly inflated because with all the hysteria and panic, anyone who tests positive for covid and dies from anything respiratory-related even though they're 87 and have COPD will be marked as 'caused by covid', which is very much not the case with flu at all. The powers that be will be pulling out all the stops to justify plunging the economy into recession, causing 10s and maybe 100s of thousands their jobs, their lives and their homes.

 

[GimmeAnother1]

31 cases in my county according to state website and a couple of deaths as of today. It’s in my area now and spreading. Let u know how it works out.

 

[Qwkz51]

31 cases in my county according to state website and a couple of deaths as of today. It’s in my area now and spreading. Let u know how it works out.

Stay safe!

 

[MNMarc]

The only positive thing I’ve seen so far is that every guy stops and washes their hands after going to the bathroom now. Sad that it took Covid-19 to get people to start caring about cleanliness. Stay safe people!

 

[tequila4kapp]

4-6 weeks I think all will be well.

I am generally of a like mind.

 

[HarlettoScara]

Exactly!!!! The U.K. apparently has also stopped testing apart from serious cases. Those numbers don’t mean **** unfortunately.


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This is exactly how it is. We're not testing here unless you have had worsening symptoms over 7 days in length, so the true numbers are impossible to gauge.

 

[JDax]

Question? Does one on here personally know anyone that has tested positive for Covid-19?

 

[golfinnut]

My inside connection in the Government believes there will be a Mandatory 14 day quarantine period in the US announced in the next 48 - 72 hours. Not exactly sure how that will be enforced?

Make sure you buy your TP ladies & gentlemen.

 

[Sox_Fan]

My inside connection in the Government believes there will be a Mandatory 14 day quarantine period in the US announced in the next 48 - 72 hours. Not exactly sure how that will be enforced?

Make sure you buy your TP ladies & gentlemen.

My wife told me about an hour ago she read that somewhere this morning. Guess I better go grab some more Diet Dew 2 liters.

 

[gonyr]

New York State just reduced maximum crowds to 50, made all restaurants takeout only, and closed all gyms, movie theaters, and casinos.

 

[LLIB]

Question? Does one on here personally know anyone that has tested positive for Covid-19?

No but I’m in an extremely rural area with a low population so I may not be the best to answer

 

[JDax]

My inside connection in the Government believes there will be a Mandatory 14 day quarantine period in the US announced in the next 48 - 72 hours. Not exactly sure how that will be enforced?

Make sure you buy your TP ladies & gentlemen.

I think there is some internal debate in the WH on if they should pull the trigger on locking down the country.

 

[JDax]

My prediction:
-Stocks will continue lower- The Shorts are killing any rally
-Businesses will be ordered to close
-Testing will increase 100x
-More testing will show the death rate is WAY lower than predicted, but will initially cause more panic as #’s increase.
-Society will start to return.
-Summer will kill it.

 

[e1iterate]

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I think there is some internal debate in the WH on if they should pull the trigger on locking down the country.

With Trump delaying his update, I think you are right. Something big possibly coming this afternoon.

 

[Bernoulli]

My prediction:
-Stocks will continue lower- The Shorts are killing any rally
-Businesses will ordered to close
-Testing will increase 100x
-More testing will show the death rate is WAY lower than predicted, but will initially cause more panic as #’s increase.
-Society will start to return.
-Summer will kill it.

Very reasonable assumptions. And we should be prepared for the numbers to increase due to an increased number of tests.

 

[Desmond]

With Trump delaying his update I think you are right. Something big possibly coming this afternoon.

He needs to stop the market from tanking ... so who knows.

But the Cowboys put the franchise tag on Dak, and I'm wondering if Cooper is signed.

 

[Desmond]

My prediction:
-Stocks will continue lower- The Shorts are killing any rally
-Businesses will be ordered to close
-Testing will increase 100x
-More testing will show the death rate is WAY lower than predicted, but will initially cause more panic as #’s increase.
-Society will start to return.
-Summer will kill it.

USA is about business and people need to make money so certain businesses with stores will close (see Apple), others will work at home.

Business will remain open but perhaps not restaurants, except for take-out, and then other businesses where people congregate. Although I think it is a capacity issue. Keep restaurants/bars at half with proper distance.

Schools will close or go online.

It will get worse before it gets better in terms of new cases and death.

But the trend is get serious about limiting social interaction to cut down on spread so we can find a new normal quickly.

 

[GimmeAnother1]

Right now we have between 29-31 cases by me and the golf course was packed yesterday. Hope they don’t try to shut them down. Either we are in zombie apocalypse like Msm is trying to push so hard or this is a flu and we got scammed yet again by bad actors in govt, media, etc. so glad I don’t have tv anymore. I get more reliable info right here.
I’m in one of the hot areas so I’ll post as we go through it.

 

[Hoosiermess]

Businesses will be ordered to close

I'm in the AG supply industry, order or not, we will not be closing. I would guess that we would be outside the scope of closures since farms never close (until they go bankrupt) milk and beef production will continue and so shall we. I do think that many businesses have been ordered to close and some more may follow but probably not many. Outside of that I think I agree with that list.

 

[Desmond]

Right now we have between 29-31 cases by me and the golf course was packed yesterday. Hope they don’t try to shut them down. Either we are in zombie apocalypse like Msm is trying to push so hard or this is a flu and we got scammed yet again by bad actors in govt, media, etc. so glad I don’t have tv anymore. I get more reliable info right here.
I’m in one of the hot areas so I’ll post as we go through it.

It's not about the flu, it's about the fact that we have limited capacity and hospitals have reduced their capacity over the years, and if we fill to capacity, then docs and staff get sick, and no machines to keep people alive.

We need to slow, slow the spread.

Do you get it now?

 

[JDax]

Businesses will be ordered to close

I'm in the AG supply industry, order or not, we will not be closing. I would guess that we would be outside the scope of closures since farms never close (until they go bankrupt) milk and beef production will continue and so shall we. I do think that many businesses have been ordered to close and some more may follow but probably not many. Outside of that I think I agree with that list.

Businesses like Bars and other tourist destinations will be asked to close... I didn’t mean all businesses.

 

[GimmeAnother1]

It's not about the flu, it's about the fact that we have limited capacity and hospitals have reduced their capacity over the years, and if we fill to capacity, then docs and staff get sick, and no machines to keep people alive.

We need to slow, slow the spread.

Do you get it now?

Work in healthcare champ. I get it. But if it’s a flu overwhelming hospitals is not necessary and a scare tactic that basics pushes the herd in a direction. We r first responders. We will be strained first and foremost and my statement stands especially being in healthcare.
We r evaluating the actual strain not just some msm saturation.

 

[Hoosiermess]

Got ya, I didn't mean to sound like I was coming in hot but re-reading what I wrote could have sounded that way. Purely unintentional. I guess I'm a little on edge thinking about how a shutdown would affect my business.

 

[AndyL0711]

either close it all down or open it all up.....this piecemeal crap is not working. in Pa, we have 4 counties around us that are closed but 1 minute away that county is open....how the hell does that make any sense. so i can't shop here but i can drive 1 minute and have at it.

and like usual the people getting hit the worse are the middle class and small businesses. the rich are rich and the poor will get their checks no matter what. but the small business takes it you know where. got a nice letter from my landlord today,, for my office. he basically said that rent is due on the first and if you don't like it tough crap. even though the governor of our fine state said that my county should close all non-essential businesses but it's not mandatory. well that basically kills me. no one is shopping here in this county but we are still open because we have to be.

 

[Stryker]

Just a tip if anybody is running low on TP and can not find any. A lot is small convenience stores have a stock of TP. Most people never think to look there so you might find some if desperate. It won’t be anything great usually but better then nothing. I thought about it earlier as I was walking in a store for a snack and sure enough their small shelf was packed full.